The War Dispatch
Independent, sourced analysis of the world's most consequential active wars, live scenario tracking, economic-impact modeling, and long-form reporting.
Conflicts
- The Iran War
Day 77 of Operation Epic Fury. Khamenei dead, SNSC destroyed, Assembly of Experts bombed. Iran retaliated with missiles across the Gulf, closed the Strait of Hormuz, and activated Hezbollah. War has spread to Lebanon, Ir - The Russia–Ukraine War
Year four finds both sides locked in attritional warfare along stabilized front lines. Russia controls roughly 18% of Ukrainian territory with an estimated 2 million combined casualties. Daily drone and missile strikes h - The Sudan Civil War
Sudan is effectively partitioned. The SAF holds Khartoum, the east, and the north after recapturing the capital in March 2025. The RSF controls most of Darfur and large parts of Kordofan after taking El Fasher in October - The Myanmar Civil War
Year 5 of the civil war. The junta controls 21% of territory but holds all major cities. Resistance forces hold 42% through a mosaic of 1,200+ armed groups. China's intervention stabilized the junta in 2025. Sham electio - Gaza
Phase 2 of the US-backed peace plan is underway. A ceasefire holds since October 2025, but Israel continues military operations along the ‘Yellow Line’ and has violated ceasefire terms repeatedly. 73,770+ Palestinians ki - Lebanon
Israel and Hezbollah are at war again. The November 2024 ceasefire collapsed on March 2, 2026, when Hezbollah fired rockets at Haifa in retaliation for Operation Epic Fury. Israel has struck 500+ targets across Lebanon,
All Analysis
The Iran War
- Gulf States: Cost vs. Benefit
- How Regimes Fall
- The 8% Chance that the Iranian Regime will Fall
- The Emirates' Shadow Wars
- Five Maps of the War (Iran)
- Israel has a name for the wars it cannot win: mowing the grass. The question is whether Iran is one of them.
- Everything We Know About Iran's Underground Missile Cities
- Israel's seven-front war may end this week. Front by front, here is what it actually changed.
- Middle East Realignment: The Gulf After Epic Fury
- Iran’s June 2026 Finances, What We Know
- The Revolution That Did Not Come
- How the Iran War Tested Analyst Predictions
- The Nuclear Question: Did Operation Epic Fury End Iran's Bomb, or Guarantee It?
- Why IRGC officers can't defect: they're already rich inside the regime, bankrupt outside it
- A neutral state interned an Iranian warship in March. Almost no one covered it.
- Three pipelines quietly won the Hormuz closure
- Iran bombed sovereign British soil. London barely spoke. Why?
- How did a mid-tier cleric become Supreme Leader? The Qom power trade behind Mojtaba
- The Pentagon already fought this war in 2002. It lost in ten minutes.
- Iran's new commanders run the war from hiding. Even Tehran doesn't always know where they are.
The Russia–Ukraine War
- Economic Attrition
- Five Maps of the War (Ukraine)
- The missing million? Ukrainian children registered in Russian schools, by oblast of "origin"
- Ukraine's drone empire ran on Chinese parts. Beijing tightened the screws. Kyiv had two years to fix it.
- The shadow fleet is the war: the 600-plus tankers the West has finally named
- What a quarter-million deserters do, and do not, tell us about how this war ends
The Sudan Civil War
- The War Nobody Stopped
- Five Maps of the War (Sudan)
- The gold that funds both sides of Sudan's war passes through the same Dubai trade
- The Masalit of Ardamata: a second genocide finished what 2003 started
- The Emirati cargo planes that don't exist on FlightRadar
- Algoney Hamdan Dagalo runs the gold. The sanctions arrived two years late.
- Abu Amama: the cancelled $6 billion port deal at the centre of Sudan's war
- The RSF is the Janjaweed with a Toyota fleet, and the 2003 playbook predicted El Fasher
Lebanon
- The map of Hezbollah's Lebanon: where the party rules, where it cannot, and who is left to lead it
- Israel's seven-front war may end this week. Front by front, here is what it actually changed.
- Iran is broke. So who is actually paying to rebuild Dahieh?
- The 30,000 people no one is covering: the Maronite villages caught between Hezbollah and the IDF